The story
What is in force for goods moving between Mexico and the U.S., what is pending and what is on the calendar, each item dated and sourced to the Federal Register, the DOF and USTR.
As of 10/11/2026, a good of Mexico entered free of duty under USMCA does not pay the 10% Section 301 tariff in effect since 7/24/2026. Section 232 tariffs apply by product; on steel, aluminum, copper and lumber, USMCA gives no relief. USMCA stays in force under annual reviews. Mexico raised its own tariffs on imports from countries without a trade agreement.
As of October 2026
This box is the dated summary. Each line was read in its primary source on 10/10 or 10/11/2026; the tables further down carry their own dates.
U.S. measures on goods of Mexico
- Section 301, 10%. Charged on products of Mexico since 7/24/2026, on top of normal duty, after USTR found Mexico among six economies failing to effectively enforce a ban on imports made with forced labor. Not charged on goods entered free of duty under USMCA, Section 232 goods in HTSUS note 52(f) or products in note 52(b). No exclusion process.
- The court case. The 10% is under challenge at the U.S. Court of International Trade, which heard arguments on 9/30/2026 and had not ruled as of 10/11/2026. Supplemental briefs are due 10/16/2026. It is still collected.
- Section 232 on metals. Steel, aluminum and most copper articles, and some derivatives, pay 50% on full customs value for entries since 4/6/2026. Other listed derivatives pay 25%, and outside chapters 72, 73, 74 and 76 only when the metal is at least 15% of the article's weight. No USMCA reduction.
- Section 232 on vehicles and parts. Listed auto parts pay 25% since 5/3/2025, and medium- and heavy-duty truck parts 25% since 11/1/2025. USMCA-qualifying parts are exempt until Commerce publishes a process to tariff only their non-U.S. content; none had been published as of 10/11/2026. Buses pay 10%.
- Section 232 on wood and equipment. Softwood lumber 10%; kitchen cabinets, vanities and upholstered wooden products 25%, all since 10/14/2025 with no USMCA relief. For fixed industrial machinery and power equipment, normal duty plus Section 232 generally totals 15% through 12/31/2027. Mobile equipment such as forklifts pays 25%, or 25% on non-U.S. content with a 15% floor if USMCA-qualifying.
- IEEPA ended. The Supreme Court held on 2/20/2026 that IEEPA does not authorize tariffs, and an executive order that day ended the duties. Refund claims go through CBP's CAPE tool. The Court of International Trade reported about $126 billion in duties plus interest refunded across all IEEPA tariffs as of 10/2/2026; the government's appeal on reliquidating all entries is pending.
- Section 122, lapsed. A 10% surcharge applied from 2/24/2026 to 7/24/2026, excepting USMCA duty-free and Section 232 goods. The Court of International Trade held it invalid for three plaintiffs on 5/7/2026; the Federal Circuit stayed that judgment on 6/11/2026 pending appeal.
- A second Section 301 case, pending. A USTR investigation of structural excess capacity, opened 3/11/2026, names Mexico among 16 economies. No determination as of 10/11/2026. The statute allows 12 months from initiation, which points to 3/11/2027.
USMCA
- Review. The U.S. did not agree to renew USMCA at the 7/1/2026 joint review. It stays in force and moves to annual joint reviews (Art. 34.7). Comments for the 2027 review are due 1/12/2027 at 11:59 p.m. EST. Unless each party confirms an extension, it ends 7/1/2036; any party may withdraw on six months' notice (Art. 34.6).
- Talks. A 7/23/2026 U.S.-Mexico joint statement lists economic security, labor, agriculture, electronic payment services, steel and aluminum, and automobiles among the topics under discussion. No agreement had been published as of 10/11/2026.
Mexico's measures
- Tariff decrees. A decree published 12/29/2025 raised duties on about 1,460 tariff lines from 1/1/2026, mostly to 25% to 35% and up to 50%. A second, published 4/23/2026, added 185 lines from 4/24/2026. Both target countries without a trade agreement with Mexico; USMCA-originating goods keep their preferential rate.
- Customs law. The Ley Aduanera reform published 11/19/2025 took effect 1/1/2026, with some provisions on 2/1/2026 and 4/1/2026. Customs brokers now answer for data accuracy, classification and the importer's permits; importers must keep freight, insurance and payment proof for each entry.
- Carta Porte. Moving goods inside Mexico without a CFDI carrying the Carta Porte complement is presumed contraband. Where no value is declared, the SICT Carta de Porte terms cap carrier liability at 15 UMA per metric ton, about 1,760 pesos in 2026.
Source: Federal Register 91 FR 47318 (Section 301 action), 91 FR 34272 (6/2/2026 determination), 91 FR 12886 (excess capacity initiation), 91 FR 18201 (Proclamation 11021), 91 FR 34085 (Proclamation 11032), 90 FR 14705 (Proclamation 10908), 90 FR 48451 (Proclamation 10984), 90 FR 48127 (Proclamation 10976), 91 FR 9437 (EO 14389), 91 FR 9339 (Proclamation 11012), 91 FR 63379 (USMCA review notice); HTSUS Revision 21, chapter 99, U.S. notes 16, 33, 37 and 52, heading 9903.05.55; In re Section 301 Forced Labor Cases, Consol. Ct. No. 26-03555 (CIT), docket through ECF 61; Learning Resources, Inc. v. Trump, No. 24-1287 (U.S. 2/20/2026); CIT Slip Op. 26-123 (10/8/2026) and 26-47 (5/7/2026); CBP trade remedies page (CAPE); USMCA Arts. 34.6 and 34.7; USTR releases of 7/1/2026 and 7/23/2026.
Source, Mexico: DOF 12/29/2025, 4/23/2026 and 11/19/2025; Código Fiscal de la Federación Art. 103 XXII; SICT Carta de Porte Acuerdo, DOF 12/16/2021, cl. DÉCIMA; DOF 1/27/2016 UMA decree, transitorio Tercero; INEGI UMA 2026. Read 10/10 and 10/11/2026.
General information as of 10/11/2026, not legal, tax or customs advice. Confirm classification and duty with a licensed customs broker.
How USMCA qualification changes what you pay
USMCA is a claim made on each entry, not a status a company holds. The importer claims it by putting "S" or "S+" before the tariff number on the entry summary (19 CFR 182.11). As of 10/11/2026, an entry without the claim pays the normal duty and, unless the product is on an exemption list, the 10% Section 301 tariff.
The Section 301 exemption is written around the entry. HTSUS note 52(h) covers "any products of Mexico entered free of duty under" USMCA, reported under heading 9903.05.94. A good that would qualify but enters without the claim falls outside it.
If a qualifying entry went in without the claim, the importer can file a post-importation claim within one year (19 CFR 182.31). For zero-duty goods such as tequila and beer, confirm the USMCA claim and its reporting with your customs broker.
What qualifies is set product by product. Meat and fresh produce qualify by a change in tariff classification from any other chapter. Many machinery and electrical lines allow a tariff shift or a regional value content test, often 60% by transaction value or 50% by net cost.
Core parts for passenger vehicles and light trucks need 75% by net cost or 85% by transaction value.
The certification has no required form. The exporter, producer or importer completes it, on an invoice or any other document, with the minimum data elements; CBP's regulation adds the tariff classification and the rule of origin used. A blanket certification covers identical goods for up to 12 months, the importer must hold it when claiming, and records stay five years.
Claim USMCA on every qualifying entry, not every entry. CBP verifies claims by questionnaire or plant visit, and a denied claim makes the waived duty due.
False certification, including by negligence, is a penalty matter under 19 U.S.C. 1592; an importer who promptly and voluntarily corrects a wrong claim, files the required statement and pays the duty avoids those penalties, except in fraud (19 CFR 182.13, 182.124).
USTR's 2026 report on autos counts 230 of 961 CBP verifications of USMCA auto parts and used vehicles as noncompliant, a 24% discrepancy rate.
Source: USMCA Chapter 4 (Arts. 4.2, 4.5, 4.12), Annex 4-B and its Automotive Appendix (Art. 3), Chapter 5 (Arts. 5.2, 5.3, 5.8, 5.9); 19 CFR 182.11, 182.12, 182.13, 182.15, 182.31, 182.124; HTSUS Revision 21, chapter 99, U.S. note 52(h), heading 9903.05.94; 19 U.S.C. 1592; CBP USMCA FAQ; USTR 2026 USMCA Autos Report to Congress (7/1/2026). Read 10/10 and 10/11/2026.
The Section 232 product map
Section 232 tariffs follow the product's tariff line, not the trade agreement. As of 10/11/2026, USMCA lowers or removes them only where the table says so; elsewhere a good of Mexico pays the Section 232 rate on top of its normal duty.
As of 10/11/2026, a part paying the auto parts duty does not also pay the metals duty (Executive Order 14289), and a good on two metals lists pays once.
| Product group | Rate as of 10/11/2026 | USMCA treatment | Instrument and HTSUS heading | Next scheduled step |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steel, aluminum and most copper articles; certain derivative articles in Annex I-A | 50% of full customs value; listed derivative articles with at least 85% U.S. melted and poured steel or smelted and cast aluminum pay 10% (note 16(e)) | No reduction | Proclamation 11021 (91 FR 18201), entries from 4/6/2026; 9903.82.02 | None scheduled |
| Steel and aluminum derivative articles and copper articles in Annex I-B | 25%. Outside chapters 72, 73, 74 and 76, only if the metal is at least 15% of the article's weight; 10% where at least 85% of the metal is U.S. melted and poured or smelted and cast (note 16(e)) | No reduction | Proclamation 11021; 9903.82.09; note 16(c) and 9903.82.03 | 14 more product groups proposed 8/6/2026, including trailers, conductor cables and hydraulic motor parts; not final (91 FR 50756) |
| Fixed industrial machinery and power equipment; agricultural equipment and residential HVAC | Normal duty plus Section 232 generally totals 15%; 10% with at least 85% U.S. metal; the normal duty alone if it is 15% or more (note 16(e), (f)) | Same rate, qualifying or not (9903.82.10) | Proclamation 11021 cl. (5); Proclamation 11032; 9903.82.10, .11 | 25% from 1/1/2028 |
| Mobile industrial equipment: forklifts, earthmovers, non-agricultural tractors, crane lorries | 25% | If USMCA-qualifying, 25% on non-U.S. content only, total not less than 15% | Proclamation 11032 (91 FR 34085), from 6/8/2026; note 16(j), 9903.82.20, .21 | BIS notice defining U.S. content scheduled to publish 10/14/2026; 25% on full value from 1/1/2028 |
| Mexican steel and aluminum supplied to U.S. auto and heavy-truck makers (producer program) | Can be cut to no less than 25% for limited quantities | Only USMCA-qualifying metal melted and poured, or smelted and cast, in Mexico or Canada | Proclamation 10984 cl. (13); ITA procedures 91 FR 21790; 9903.82.18 | CBP entry instructions not issued as of 10/1/2026 |
| Passenger vehicles and light trucks | 25% since 4/3/2025 | 25% on non-U.S. content only, once Commerce approves the importer's U.S.-content documentation | Proclamation 10908 (90 FR 14705); ITA procedures 91 FR 53602 | None scheduled |
| Auto parts on the note 33 list | 25% since 5/3/2025 | Exempt until Commerce publishes a process to tariff non-U.S. content; none as of 10/11/2026. CBP guidance of 10/29/2025 (CSMS #66665333) spared qualifying parts under 9903.94.06 the metals duty; it lists pre-4/6/2026 headings, so confirm with a broker | Proclamation 10908 cl. (4); note 33; 9903.94.05, .06 | No date set |
| Medium- and heavy-duty trucks and their parts; buses | Trucks and parts 25%, buses 10%, since 11/1/2025 | Qualifying truck parts exempt until a non-U.S. content process is published; qualifying trucks 25% on non-U.S. content after approval; no USMCA provision for buses | Proclamation 10984 (90 FR 48451); 9903.74 | No date set |
| Softwood timber and lumber | 10% since 10/14/2025 | No relief | Proclamation 10976 (90 FR 48127); note 37, 9903.76.01 | None scheduled |
| Upholstered wooden products | 25% since 10/14/2025 | No relief | Proclamation 10976; 9903.76.02 | 30% from 1/1/2027, except for countries that reach an agreement with the U.S. (Proclamation 11000) |
| Kitchen cabinets and vanities, and parts for them | 25% since 10/14/2025 | No relief | Proclamation 10976; 9903.76.03 | 50% from 1/1/2027, same exception (Proclamation 11000) |
| Covered semiconductors and some goods containing them, servers included | 25% since 1/15/2026; exceptions include use in U.S. data centers | No relief | Proclamation 11002 (91 FR 2443); note 39, 9903.79.01 | None scheduled |
| Patented pharmaceuticals | Up to 100% since 7/31/2026 or 9/29/2026 by company, lower for companies with approved plans or pricing agreements; generics not covered | No relief | Proclamation 11020 (91 FR 18183); 9903.04.60 to .66 | Commerce review of generics due 4/2/2027 |
| Drones, docking stations and critical components | 100% or 25% by annex since 9/3/2026 | No relief | Proclamation 11055 (91 FR 53699) | Listed components 25% from 2/9/2027 |
| Polysilicon, wafers, solar cells and modules | None yet; minimum import prices and an added 15% from 12/4/2026 | No relief | Proclamation 11052 (91 FR 51975) | Starts 12/4/2026 |
Section 301 and Section 232 do not stack when the Section 232 heading is listed in note 52(f), which covers the metals, vehicle, parts, wood, semiconductor and pharmaceutical headings. Drones are not in note 52(f), so a drone not entered duty-free under USMCA can owe both. A derivative under 15% metal pays no Section 232 but can owe the 10% unless entered under USMCA.
Three Commerce investigations that could reach Mexican goods passed their report deadlines without a proclamation in the Federal Register as of 10/11/2026: robotics and industrial machinery, wind turbines, and protective and medical equipment. One related measure runs the other way: the Section 201 safeguard on quartz countertop products excludes products of Mexico.
Source: Proclamations 11021 (91 FR 18201), 11032 (91 FR 34085), 10908 (90 FR 14705), 10984 (90 FR 48451), 10976 (90 FR 48127), 11000 (91 FR 1039), 11002 (91 FR 2443), 11020 (91 FR 18183), 11052 (91 FR 51975), 11055 (91 FR 53699), 11051 (91 FR 50645); Executive Order 14289 (90 FR 18907); ITA 91 FR 21790 and 91 FR 53602; BIS 91 FR 50756, 90 FR 46382, 90 FR 41380, 90 FR 46383 and FR Doc. 2026-20938 (public inspection); HTSUS Revision 21, chapter 99, U.S. notes 16, 33, 37, 39 and 52; CBP CSMS #66665333 and #68855869. Read 10/11/2026.
Antidumping and countervailing cases by industry
Antidumping and countervailing duties are set by product and by company and apply on top of Section 232 and Section 301 (HTSUS note 52(a)). The rates below are cash deposits for exporters without their own rate ("all others") at the date of the latest notice; every administrative review can change them. Both countries run cases, so both directions are listed.
U.S. orders and open cases on goods of Mexico, as of 10/11/2026
| Product | Case | Status | All-others cash deposit | Articles |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fresh tomatoes | A-201-820 | Order since 7/14/2025, after the 2019 suspension agreement ended; first administrative review opened 9/4/2026 | 17.09% | 04 |
| Fresh winter strawberries | A-201-869 | Preliminary affirmative 8/21/2026; final pending; ITC hearing 1/6/2027 | 4.83% (preliminary) | 04 |
| Sugar | A-201-845, C-201-846 | Suspension agreements continued 9/9/2025 | None; the agreements set export limits and reference prices | 02 |
| Corrosion-resistant steel | A-201-863, C-201-864 | Orders since 12/19/2025 | AD 4.32%, CVD 13.26% | 01, 05, 09, 10 |
| Steel concrete reinforcing bar | A-201-844 | Order continued 4/8/2026 | 20.58% | 05, 10 |
| Carbon and alloy steel wire rod | A-201-830 | Order continued 2/24/2026 | 20.11% | 05 |
| Oil country tubular goods | A-201-856 | Order; review preliminary 5/13/2026 | 44.93% | 05 |
| Light-walled rectangular pipe and tube | A-201-836 | Order continued 8/19/2026 | 3.76% | 05, 10 |
| Heavy-walled rectangular pipe and tube | A-201-847 | Order; review final 9/3/2026 | 4.91% | 05, 10 |
| Standard steel pipe | A-201-805 | Order continued 1/4/2024 | Not shown | 05, 10 |
| Prestressed concrete steel wire strand | A-201-831 | Order continued 6/2/2026 | Not shown | 05, 10 |
| Standard steel welded wire mesh | A-201-853, C-201-854 | Orders since 2021; sunset review, ITC affirmative 9/23/2026 | Not shown | 05, 10 |
| Brass rod | A-201-858 | Order since 6/13/2024 | 6.51% | 05 |
| Seamless refined copper pipe and tube | A-201-838 | Order; review preliminary 9/21/2026 | 26.03% | 05, 10 |
| Chassis and subassemblies | A-201-865, C-201-866 | Orders since 6/18/2026 | AD 0.00% after subsidy offset, CVD 76.91% | 01 |
| Van-type trailers and subassemblies | A-201-867, C-201-868 | Investigation; preliminary duties in place, finals pending | AD 7.10%, CVD 1.91% (preliminary) | 01 |
| Mattresses | A-201-859 | Order since 9/10/2024; inquiry on Mexican components assembled in the U.S. opened 2/10/2026 | 37.59% | 10 |
| Freight rail couplers and parts | A-201-857 | Order since 11/15/2023 | 48.10% (order rate) | 07 |
| Linear hydraulic cylinders | A-201-870, C-201-871 | Investigation opened September 2026 | None yet | 07 |
| Railway tank cars and parts | Not yet assigned | Petition 9/30/2026; ITC preliminary due 11/16/2026 | None yet | 05, 06 |
| Emulsion styrene-butadiene rubber; large residential washers; magnesia carbon bricks | A-201-848, A-201-842, A-201-837 | Orders in force; magnesia carbon bricks in sunset review | Not shown | 06 (rubber), 05 (bricks) |
Mexican orders and open cases on U.S. goods, as of 10/11/2026
| Product | Status | Duty | Articles |
|---|---|---|---|
| Straight-seam carbon steel pipe (7305.11.02, 7305.12.91) | Extended five years from 5/28/2025 (DOF 6/25/2026) | 6.77%, 4.04% or 25.43% by exporter | 05 |
| Aluminum hollow profiles (7604.21.01) | Final resolution DOF 9/4/2026; covers temporary IMMEX imports too | US$1.72 per kilogram | 05, 09 |
| Suspension PVC (3904.10.03) | Provisional duty from 3/25/2026 for four months; final resolution pending as of 10/11/2026 | US$0.6315 per kilogram (provisional; term expired) | 06 |
| Pork legs and shoulders (0203.12.01, 0203.19.99, 0203.22.01, 0203.29.99) | Antidumping and countervailing investigations opened DOF 12/15/2025; no preliminary as of 10/11/2026 | None yet | 03 |
Our 10/11/2026 search of Commerce and ITC notices since 2023 found no U.S. order or open case on Mexican resins, paper, transformers, cabinets, tile, tequila, mezcal, beer, meat or dairy.
Source: Federal Register, ITA and ITC notices: 90 FR 33363, 91 FR 56836, 91 FR 54297, 91 FR 57652, 90 FR 45182, 90 FR 45189, 90 FR 59494, 90 FR 59488, 91 FR 18817, 91 FR 25859, 91 FR 10071, 91 FR 27014, 91 FR 56121, 91 FR 56634, 89 FR 1877, 91 FR 33689, 91 FR 60414, 89 FR 50263, 91 FR 59763, 91 FR 36806, 91 FR 36800, FR Docs. 2026-11348 and 2026-15764, 89 FR 73357, 91 FR 5904, 88 FR 78308, FR Docs. 2026-18706 and 2026-18707, 91 FR 63308; HTSUS chapter 99, U.S. note 52(a). DOF 6/25/2026, 9/4/2026, 3/24/2026, 12/15/2025 and 6/27/2025 resolutions. Read 10/10 and 10/11/2026.
Mexico's side of the border
Mexico's 2026 tariff decrees raise duties on imports from countries without a trade agreement with Mexico. The 12/29/2025 decree reaches auto parts, steel, textiles, paper and tires; the 4/23/2026 decree adds resins, metals, machinery, vehicles and parts, and furniture, with no end date stated. USMCA-originating goods keep their preferential rate. A 9/25/2026 decree extends reduced northern border-region import rates to 12/31/2030.
IMMEX lets a registered exporter bring in raw materials, parts and packaging under temporary import for up to 18 months, and trailer boxes and containers for up to two years. Temporary imports still pay applicable antidumping duties (Ley Aduanera Art. 108). Since 1/1/2026, a company has 60 calendar days from notice of its program's cancellation to nationalize or return the goods.
In 2026 the Secretaría de Economía published lists of IMMEX programs canceled for not filing the annual report. PROSEC sector programs serve registered producers, and the 4/23/2026 decree added steel lines at exempt rates to its electrical, electronics and automotive sectors.
The customs law reform shifts weight onto the paperwork. Customs brokers and agencies answer for the accuracy of entry data, the tariff classification and whether the importer holds the required permits (Art. 54). For each pedimento the importer must keep the invoices, payment transfers, freight and insurance costs and contracts behind it (Art. 59).
Some goods also need a registration. Steel imports need an automatic import notice backed by a mill or quality certificate from a mill on the VUCEM catalog, under criteria revised on 2/12/2026. Tequila and mezcal exporters must be on SAT's sector export registry (RGCE 2026, Anexo 10).
Moving goods inside Mexico without a CFDI carrying the Carta Porte complement is presumed contraband (Código Fiscal de la Federación Art. 103 XXII). SAT's guidance says to issue it before the goods are presented to customs selection.
Where no value is declared, the SICT Carta de Porte terms cap a carrier's liability at 15 UMA per metric ton, about 1,760 pesos in 2026. The UMA is the indexed unit Mexican law uses in place of the minimum wage, and INEGI resets it each February, so the peso figure moves with it.
Source: DOF decrees of 12/29/2025 (codigo 5777376), 4/23/2026 (codigo 5785818) and 9/25/2026 (Edición Vespertina); Ley Aduanera as reformed DOF 11/19/2025, Arts. 54, 59, 106 and 108; SE Acuerdo DOF 2/12/2026 (steel import notice); SE IMMEX cancellation notice signed 9/14/2026; RGCE 2026 Anexo 10, DOF 1/14/2026; Código Fiscal de la Federación Art. 103 XXII; SAT Carta Porte FAQ; SICT Carta de Porte Acuerdo, DOF 12/16/2021, cl. DÉCIMA; DOF 1/27/2016 UMA decree, transitorio Tercero; INEGI UMA 2026. Read 10/10 and 10/11/2026.
What's on the calendar
Dates through 2027 that can change what a cross-border entry pays or needs. Firm dates are printed in the instrument. Computed dates are arithmetic from a statute or notice and can move.
| Date | What happens | Instrument | Firm or computed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/14/2026 | BIS notice defining U.S. content for the mobile-equipment USMCA rule scheduled to publish | FR Doc. 2026-20938 (public inspection) | Scheduled |
| 10/16/2026 | Supplemental briefs due in the Section 301 case; a ruling can follow any time after | CIT Consol. Ct. No. 26-03555 | Firm |
| 10/21/2026 | ITC staff conference, railway tank cars from Mexico | 91 FR 63308 | Firm |
| 10/23/2026 | Electronic export manifest test for southbound truck cargo begins, about two years, up to nine participants | 91 FR 60383 | Firm |
| About 11/12/2026 | Commerce preliminary countervailing duty determination, linear hydraulic cylinders | FR Doc. 2026-18707 | Computed, extendable |
| 11/16/2026 | ITC preliminary determination, railway tank cars | 91 FR 63308 | Firm |
| About 11/30/2026 | Executive Order 14411 deadlines for importer-of-record standards and registry | 91 FR 35125 | Computed |
| 12/1/2026 | Comments due on CBP's proposal to collect the export documents filed with the foreign customs authority | 91 FR 56408 | Firm |
| 12/4/2026 | Polysilicon minimum import prices and 15% duty begin | Proclamation 11052 | Firm |
| 12/7/2026 | Comments due on CBP's proposed rule for informal entries of $2,500 or less | 91 FR 64532 | Firm |
| About 12/17/2026 | Commerce final determinations, van-type trailers from Mexico | 135 days after 8/4/2026; FR Doc. 2026-16787 | Computed; notices conflict |
| 1/1/2027 | Upholstered wooden products to 30%, kitchen cabinets and vanities to 50%, except for countries with an agreement | Proclamation 11000 | Firm |
| About 1/3/2027 | Commerce final determination, fresh winter strawberries | 135 days after 8/21/2026 | Computed |
| 1/6/2027 | ITC hearing, fresh winter strawberries | 91 FR 57652 | Firm |
| 1/12/2027 | USMCA 2027 review, written comments and requests to appear due, 11:59 p.m. EST | 91 FR 63379 | Firm |
| About 1/26/2027 | Commerce preliminary antidumping determination, linear hydraulic cylinders | FR Doc. 2026-18706 | Computed, extendable |
| February 2027 | New UMA value takes effect, changing the Carta Porte liability cap in pesos | INEGI annual update (the 2026 value took effect 2/1/2026) | Annual pattern |
| 2/9/2027 | Listed drone components to 25% | Proclamation 11055 | Firm |
| 3/11/2027 | Statutory deadline for USTR's determination in the Section 301 excess capacity investigation | 19 U.S.C. 2414(a)(2)(B); 91 FR 12886 | Computed |
| About 4/2/2027 | Preliminary results, first administrative review of the tomato order | 19 U.S.C. 1675(a)(3)(A) | Computed, extendable |
| 4/2/2027 | Commerce reports on whether generic pharmaceuticals need Section 232 action | Proclamation 11020 | Firm |
| 7/1/2027 | De minimis exemption ends by statute (already suspended) | Public Law 119-21, sec. 70531, as cited in 91 FR 37789 | Firm |
| 7/1/2027 | Steel counted in a vehicle producer's 70% USMCA purchase test must be made in the region, from melting through coating | USMCA Automotive Appendix Art. 6 fn. 74; 19 CFR Part 182, App. A | Firm |
| By 7/1/2027 | USMCA alternative staging for heavy trucks ends | USMCA Automotive Appendix Art. 8 | Computed |
| 2027, not yet published | USMCA annual joint review meeting and USTR public hearing | 91 FR 63379 | Not set |
| 12/31/2027 | Last day of the 15% Section 232 category and of the mobile-equipment USMCA content rule | Proclamations 11021 and 11032 | Firm |
| 1/1/2028 | Both categories move to the 25% rate | Proclamation 11021 cl. (7); Proclamation 11032 cl. (3) | Firm |
Source: CIT Consol. Ct. No. 26-03555, ECF 57; Federal Register 91 FR 63308, 91 FR 60383, 91 FR 35125, 91 FR 56408, 91 FR 64532, 91 FR 57652, 91 FR 63379, 91 FR 37789, 91 FR 12886; FR Docs. 2026-20938 (public inspection), 2026-18706, 2026-18707, 2026-16787; Proclamations 11052, 11000, 11055, 11020, 11021 cl. (5) and (7), 11032 cl. (2) and (3); 19 U.S.C. 2414(a)(2)(B) and 1675(a)(3)(A); USMCA Automotive Appendix Arts. 6 (fn. 74) and 8; 19 CFR Part 182, App. A, sec. 17(5); INEGI UMA 2026 bulletin. Computed dates are arithmetic from those instruments. Read 10/11/2026.
Trade rules by industry
Each industry article applies these rules to one kind of freight and links back here for the dated detail.
| Industry | Article (working title) | Proposed slug | Rules to check first |
|---|---|---|---|
| Automotive parts | What automotive parts cost to move across the Mexico border | /insights/automotive-parts-mexico-us | Auto parts Section 232 and the USMCA parts exemption; chassis and van trailer cases |
| Packaged food and beverage | How to move packaged food and beverages between Mexico and the U.S. | /insights/packaged-food-beverage-cross-border | Section 301 and the note 52(b) food lines; sugar agreements |
| Tequila and mezcal | Tequila and mezcal freight, from the CRT certificate to the excise refund | /insights/tequila-mezcal-mexico-to-us | Note 52(h) on zero-duty lines; Mexico's sector export registry |
| Frozen, dairy and meat | How to move frozen, dairy and meat across the U.S.-Mexico border by reefer | /insights/frozen-dairy-meat-cross-border | Note 52(b) beef lines; Mexico's pork investigation |
| Fresh produce | Shipping fresh produce from Mexico to the U.S. by reefer | /insights/fresh-produce-mexico-us-reefer | Tomato order; strawberry investigation; note 52(b) produce lines |
| Steel and metals | Why does more steel now move south into Mexico than north? | /insights/steel-metals-mexico-us | Metals Section 232 at 50%; U.S. and Mexican steel cases |
| Plastics and resin | Resin south, plastic parts north | /insights/plastics-resin-mexico-us | Mexico's PVC case; resin lines in the 4/23/2026 decree |
| Industrial machinery | Moving industrial machinery across the Mexico-U.S. border | /insights/industrial-machinery-mexico-us | The 15% and mobile-equipment Section 232 categories; hydraulic cylinder case |
| Paper and packaging | Packaging is the freight that moves with everyone else's freight | /insights/paper-packaging-mexico-us | Section 301 on paper; Mexico's paper lines |
| Data center and electrical equipment | Shipping data center and electrical equipment from Mexico to the U.S. | /insights/data-center-equipment-mexico-us | Transformers under the metals Section 232; servers in note 52(b) |
| Building materials and furniture | Furniture and building materials from Mexico, beyond the carrier's rate | /insights/building-materials-furniture-mexico-us | Wood Section 232 step on 1/1/2027; mattress order |
How to read this page
"As of" is the date we last read each item in its primary source: the Federal Register, the U.S. tariff schedule, CBP's trade messages, Mexico's Diario Oficial and USTR releases. Anything published after that date is not reflected. Dates marked computed come from a statute's deadline, not a notice, and can move.
We review the page monthly and the day before any of the industry articles publishes, and we check the open court and agency dockets at each review.
Cargado is a freight marketplace, not a customs broker. The duty on a given entry depends on its classification, origin, metal content and entry date, which a licensed customs broker confirms in the U.S. and an agente aduanal confirms in Mexico.
When a tariff change moves your freight
Cargado is not a customs broker, so we do not rule on duty. When a tariff change pushes freight onto a new lane or into the other direction, send us those lanes. We will show you where carrier bids sit on each lane we have bids for, and which lanes we have thin data on.
Talk to us → /contact?ref=trade-rules
Related links
- Market Rates for your Mexico and Canada freight
- How to vet a Mexican carrier
- How rate confidence scores work
- The 11 industry articles: the "Trade rules by industry" table above
